{"id":21738,"date":"2023-06-27T15:59:08","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T08:59:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/?p=21738"},"modified":"2023-07-21T17:35:28","modified_gmt":"2023-07-21T10:35:28","slug":"lieu-fed-co-kha-nang-tang-lai-suat-vao-cuoi-thang-7-khong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/lieu-fed-co-kha-nang-tang-lai-suat-vao-cuoi-thang-7-khong\/","title":{"rendered":"Li\u1ec7u Fed c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 kh\u00f4ng?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n
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\n \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

C\u00f3 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 25 – 26\/7 t\u1edbi.<\/h2>\n

Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Antonio Tognoli, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb C\u01a1 quan \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Italy (OIV) v\u00e0 c\u1ef1u Ph\u00f3 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Italy (AIAF), quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 6 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i “ch\u1edd” \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong 12 th\u00e1ng qua. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed<\/a> s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\"Li\u1ec7u
Li\u1ec7u FED c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 kh\u00f4ng?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd thu mua s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u00e0 48,3, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 0,1 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 48,4 trong th\u00e1ng 5. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd thu mua d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 l\u00e0 54, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 0,9 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 54,9 trong th\u00e1ng 5. S\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21\/6 v\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1ea1i H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u Fed c\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch g\u00ec cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. M\u1ed9t l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ph\u00ed vay v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m s\u1ef1 thu h\u00fat c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 r\u1ee7i ro cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thu h\u00fat c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao h\u01a1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi ho\u1eb7c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Tuy FED \u0111ang c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 k\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Vi\u1ec7c t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ed1t v\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh t\u1ed1t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ee3p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Trong phi\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ee6y ban D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n M\u1ef9 ng\u00e0y 21\/6, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell \u0111\u00e3 cho bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng Fed d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n. \u00d4ng Powell cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n

\"Ch\u1ee7
Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed – \u00f4ng Jerome Powell<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2022, Fed \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho vay chu\u1ea9n th\u00eam 5 \u0111i\u1ec3m %, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng 0 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 5-5,25%. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2% c\u1ee7a Fed. Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t “c\u00f2n m\u1ed9t ch\u1eb7ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e0i ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc” \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2%.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Powell c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t l\u00ean nhu c\u1ea7u trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c nh\u00e0 \u1edf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ph\u1ea3i m\u1ea5t th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh, doanh nghi\u1ec7p, v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean, trong khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 53 n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y. Vi\u1ec7c tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng c\u0169ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean, trong khi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean b\u1ecb sa th\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1ed1t cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i gi\u1eefa cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c th\u00eam cho gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 6 kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean hi\u1ec3u theo ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 Fed \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ed1i \u0111a cho chu k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y, m\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1edd \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong 12 th\u00e1ng qua. Ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 25-26\/7 t\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Trong tu\u1ea7n qua, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n<\/a> \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1ed9ng. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 Nasdaq Composite v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S&P500 \u0111\u1ec1u k\u1ebft th\u00fac chu\u1ed7i t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i sau khi khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n chung ch\u00e2u u ghi nh\u1eadn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Có ngày càng nhiều khả năng Fed sẽ tăng lãi suất thêm 25 điểm cơ bản tại cuộc họp vào ngày 25 – 26\/7 tới. Theo đánh giá của Antonio Tognoli, thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị Cơ quan Đánh giá Italy (OIV) và cựu Phó Chủ tịch Hiệp hội Phân tích Tài chính Italy […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":21744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1246],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-21738","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-kinh-te-the-gioi"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21738","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21738"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21738\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/infina.vn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}